Showing posts with label Rasmussen tracking poll. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Rasmussen tracking poll. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 13, 2010

New lows for the president and health care
American’s discontent can be explained thusly: it’s the economy stupid


Rasmussen Reports has found that 58 percent of Americans are in favor of repealing Obamacare. That number is up from 54 percent just two weeks ago. This shows empirical evidence of what the anecdotal evidence purports by way of the town hall meetings and tea parties; moreover, it coincides with the latest Rasmussen numbers that show President Obama’s approval rating to have slid to 48 percent.

So what has caused such discontent?

Simple, it’s the economy stupid. Unemployment hasn’t shown any significant improvement, in fact the latest numbers and numbers soon to come won’t be an accurate representation because of thousands of temporary, non-benefit census jobs. Out of work American’s aren’t seeing anything on the horizon and those employed are apprehensive about rising health care premiums; not to mention the pain at the pump—gas prices are on the rise and could be over 3 dollars a gallon soon.

In the midst of several corporations disclosing the financial hit they’ll take now Obamacare is law, which means hiring freezes or workforce reduction, the president is holding a summit on nuclear proliferation and the next item on the Administration’s agenda is likely to be cap and trade—two agenda items that don’t have anything to improve the employment rate.

“Laser like focus on jobs”


-- Owen E. Richason IV
Chief Editor, Killswitch Politick

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Monday, October 12, 2009

Numbers don’t lie (what the polls and audits really say)



There are inescapable facts in life: 24 hours in a day, 7 days in a week, and 52 weeks a year; plus the oldest two: death and taxes. There are also inescapable facts in politics and the economy but unlike the number of hours in a day, those facts can change quickly.

Then how could they be “facts”? Facts by their very definition do not change – unless of course, you’re talking politics or the economy and that is precisely why so many Americans do not trust politicians, talking head pundits, the media-at-large and all those polls they throw at us.

Let’s start with the presidential approval polls:

Real Clear Politics.com

Poll

Date

Sample

Approve

Disapprove

Spread

RCP Average

9/24 - 10/12

--

53.0

39.9

+13.1

Gallup

10/9 - 10/11

1547 A

56

36

+20

Rasmussen Reports

10/9 - 10/12

1500 LV

49

51

-2

CBS News

10/5 - 10/8

829 A

56

34

+22

Ipsos/McClatchy

10/1 - 10/5

1296 A

56

40

+16

Associated Press/GfK

10/1 - 10/5

1003 A

56

39

+17

Quinnipiac

9/29 - 10/5

2630 RV

50

41

+9

Pew Research

9/30 - 10/4

1500 A

52

36

+16

FOX News

9/29 - 9/30

900 RV

50

42

+8

National Journal/FD

9/24 - 9/28

1200 A

52

40

+12

As the chart denotes, Real Clear Politics averages a 13.1% positive margin for Mr. Obama. Yet there is only one poll in the nine cited that actually has any historical authenticity – Rasmussen Reports. Why? Because it is the only poll sampling people who actually vote, LVs or Likely Voters. These are individuals who vote in both in-year and off-year elections. The only other two worth noting are Quinnipiac and FOX News who sampled RVs (Registered Voters). The other six are worthless as they are a sampling of As or All/Adult voters.

This being the case, Rasmussen is the most accurate, reflecting that Mr. Obama’s approval rating has fallen below that of his election-win percentage of 53%, bad news for the President.

Now onto the latest in health care reform wherein Senator Max Baucus (D-MT) put forth a health care reform bill that was said to have been scored by the CBO (Congressional Budget Office) at costing under one trillion dollars plus, would reduce the national deficit by slightly more than $80 billion over the next decade. But it wasn’t long before reports surfaced the CBO was scoring what amounted to nothing. The official bill language wasn’t included, so the score was derived from speculative figures. What’s more, is the insurance industry has published findings made by a trade group the Baucus plan would cost the average individual $1,500 more per year and about $4,000 a per family.

Which to believe? Simple, ask yourself has the government every enacted a program that reduces spending and cuts the deficit? Perhaps that's why 56% of Americans say the country is on the wrong track.