Thursday, February 18, 2010

An unpopular president, a polarized public

Washington, DC—As President Obama finds himself on the wrong side of Super Bowl 44 predictions, picking the Indianapolis Colts in a pre-game interview, the administration is getting much worse news.

In the most recent polling, President Obama finds his job approval rating at 47 percent, according to Real Clear Politics average. In four polls conducted by Marist, Rasmussen, Gallup, and FOX News, only one shows the president with a favorable rating. That poll, conducted by Gallup, surveyed 1547 adults, and also shows the widest gap between approving and disapproving respondents. Pollsters and political advisers widely disregard polls comprised of adults, and greatly favor “likely voters” over both adults and “registered voters” as LVs are the truest measure of public sentiment. 
Mr. Obama has the dubious distinction of being the most polarizing and least approved president in American history since polling has been conducted. With unemployment figures to likely be revised up from 9.7 percent, the president's job approval rating will dip yet again.

Both liberal and conservative political pundits have pointed to focusing on health care reform legislation rather than jobs and the economy-at-large as the main reason for the president's low approval rating. Voters validated that assumption in three recent races, electing Republican candidates who opposed health care reform to governorships in New Jersey and Virginia and a senate seat in Massachusetts.

Rasmussen Reports, the only polling firm that conducts daily polls and was closest to predicting Mr. Obama’s 2008 victory over Republican Arizona Senator John McCain, shows 54 percent of likely voters disapprove of the president's job performance while 46 percent approve.

Congressional job approval remains low for the Democrat majority with a RCP average of 70.2 percent of Americans disapproving. Majority Leader Harry Reid also finds himself trailing in his bid for reelection.


-- Owen E. Richason IV
Chief Editor, Killswitch Politick

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